ABSTRACT
Background Healthcare across all sectors, in the UK and globally, was negatively affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. We investigated the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the quantity of healthcare services delivered to people with pancreatic cancer. Methods With the approval of NHS England, and drawing from a nationally representative OpenSAFELY-TPP dataset of 24 million patients (over 40% of the English population), we undertook a cohort study of people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. We queried electronic healthcare records for information on the provision of healthcare services across the pancreatic cancer pathway. To estimate the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic, we predicted the rates of healthcare services if the pandemic had not happened. We used generalised linear models (GLM) and the pre-pandemic data from January 2015 to February 2020 to predict rates in March 2020 to September 2022. The 95% confidence intervals of the predicted values were used to estimate the significance of the difference between the predicted and observed rates. Results The rate of pancreatic cancer and diabetes diagnoses in the cohort was not affected by the pandemic. There were 24,500 people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer from January 2015 to September 2022. The mean age at diagnosis was 72 (SD 11), 48% of people were female, 95% were of White ethnicity and 39% were diagnosed with diabetes. We found a reduction in surgical resections by nearly 25% during the pandemic. In addition, 20%, 10% and 5% fewer people received BMI, HbA1c and liver function tests respectively before they were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. There was no impact of the pandemic on the number of people making contact with primary care, but the number of contacts increased on average by 1 to 2 per person amongst those who made contact. Abdominal scans decreased by 7% and reporting of jaundice decreased by 20%, but recovered within six months into the pandemic. Emergency department visits, hospital admissions and deaths were not affected. Conclusions The pandemic affected healthcare in England across the pancreatic cancer pathway. Positive lessons could be learnt from services that recovered quickly. The reductions in healthcare experienced by people with cancer have the potential to lead to worse outcomes. Current efforts should focus on addressing the unmet needs of people with cancer.
Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus , Jaundice , Neoplasms , Pancreatic Neoplasms , COVID-19ABSTRACT
Background: Cancer treatments were variably disrupted during the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite UK national guidelines recommending pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy to all people with unresectable pancreatic cancer, observational studies demonstrate under-prescribing. Aim: To investigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the prescribing of pancreatic enzyme replacement to people with unresectable pancreatic cancer. Methods: With the approval of NHS England, we conducted a cohort study using 24 million health records through the OpenSAFELY-TPP research platform. We modelled the effect of COVID-19 with multivariable linear regression. Results: We found no reduction in pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy during the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, since 2015, the rates of prescribing increased steadily over time by 1% every year. The national rates ranged from 41% in 2015 to 48% in 2022. There was substantial regional variation. The highest rates of 50% to 60% were in the West Midlands and lowest (20% to 30%) in London. Conclusions: In contrast to many other treatments, prescribing of pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy was not affected during the COVID-19 pandemic. Although overall rates increased over time, substantial under-prescribing existed at the end of this study (March 2022). At just under 50% in 2022, the rates were still below the recommended 100% standard. Prior work evaluating quality of care in this area relied on manual audits which come at increased cost and reduced frequency of updates. With the methodological advantage of OpenSAFELY, we established an automated audit which allows for regular updates.